Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.115958 0.129367 0.143102 0.158184 0.174240 0.190786 0.209089
2024-11-03 0.098769 0.117354 0.137114 0.159555 0.184205 0.210333 0.240000
2024-11-10 0.087835 0.110219 0.134785 0.163464 0.195754 0.230731 0.271229
2024-11-17 0.076829 0.101651 0.129726 0.163346 0.202044 0.244763 0.295057
2024-11-24 0.069536 0.096512 0.127852 0.166212 0.211196 0.261631 0.321818
2024-12-01 0.062575 0.091045 0.124989 0.167404 0.218004 0.275540 0.345031
2024-12-08 0.055956 0.085370 0.121349 0.167210 0.222814 0.286871 0.365093
2024-12-15 0.050765 0.081026 0.118943 0.168161 0.228705 0.299262 0.386249
2024-12-22 0.045421 0.076018 0.115317 0.167274 0.232111 0.308526 0.403606
2024-12-29 0.042442 0.073929 0.115212 0.170611 0.240540 0.323688 0.427893
2025-01-05 0.038791 0.070599 0.113245 0.171382 0.245650 0.334767 0.447277
2025-01-12 0.035248 0.067133 0.110861 0.171418 0.249690 0.344447 0.464926
2025-01-19 0.031321 0.062907 0.107369 0.170041 0.252103 0.352413 0.480929
2025-01-26 0.028675 0.060392 0.106074 0.171449 0.257992 0.364637 0.502136
2025-02-02 0.027083 0.059384 0.106809 0.175525 0.267302 0.381129 0.528627
2025-02-09 0.024415 0.056411 0.104549 0.175393 0.271053 0.390637 0.546544
2025-02-16 0.022840 0.055102 0.104613 0.178387 0.278861 0.405238 0.570780
2025-02-23 0.020948 0.053077 0.103490 0.179632 0.284301 0.416825 0.591292
2025-03-02 0.018873 0.050526 0.101421 0.179428 0.287727 0.425805 0.608546
2025-03-09 0.017254 0.048641 0.100257 0.180422 0.292701 0.436737 0.628245
2025-03-16 0.015368 0.046051 0.097843 0.179494 0.294990 0.444166 0.643520
2025-03-23 0.014529 0.045416 0.098482 0.182984 0.303290 0.459374 0.668649
2025-03-30 0.013242 0.043740 0.097346 0.183790 0.307867 0.469734 0.687654